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The Economist on “Broken Britain”

February 20, 2010 by james | No Comments | Filed in Current affairs

I’m always tempted to roll my eyes and respond cynically when confronted with unqualified, fear-building statements like the “Britain is broken” refrain currently popular with the Tories. It’s too easy a statement, illustrated with anecdotal evidence, and implying that since you’re the ones claiming there’s a problem, people need you to fix it.

Of course, someone living as comfortably as me needs to be reminded that rolling our eyes and bringing out a cynical line is not really enough of a response. It’s increasingly seeming like even careful analysis, counter-examples and discussion aren’t enough either, but those of us who value those things should probably keep trying. And we need to do what we can to ensure that we’re not simply blinded by our comfort.

I was glad to see The Economist’s Through a glass darkly: Britain’s Broken Society attempting to bring some sober analysis to the table. (I don’t agree with them on the tories having the best education plans, but still…)

They rightly pick up on the issue that there is a real problem not only in the fact that societal fear is out of step with the relevant statistics, but also pick up on the ongoing issue that statistics (official or otherwise) are so rarely trusted. That’s an issue that urgently needs a solution if we’re to have a hope of meaningful discourse in the run-up to the election. Statistics can always be spun, but we need to be ready to ask the right questions rather than simply dismiss them.

why is it that the idea of “broken Britain” rings true with so many, when it seems far from reality? Partly, it is because people’s ideas about the state of society are simply inaccurate: the average voter reckons that four out of ten teenagers have children, for instance, whereas in fact perhaps three in a hundred do. Official statistics to the contrary are viewed with suspicion after successive governments have relentlessly massaged them.

There’s also something very striking in an anecdote about newspapers:

Newspapers were no less lurid a century ago. But there is one big change: a shift in readership from local papers to national ones.

They talk about London knife crime fears that were blown up nationwide and rarely tempered with the local knowledge and broader information that were only reported within the city. Even though everyone theoretically has access to that local information through the wonders of the internets, we retain an inability to really contextualise the stories that are so rapidly flashed in front of our eyes.

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Genoa, seven years on

July 27, 2008 by james | No Comments | Filed in Campaigning, Current affairs

It’s been seven years since the notorious G8 summit in Genoa, and a fair bit of news coverage seems to have come with that. In part it’s because the Italian government still haven’t really dealt with the fallout, or even recognised that the brutality on the part of their police forces must have been authorised very high up in their establishment.

Nick Davies (who’s coming to Greenbelt this year) has a very good piece in the Guardian a few weeks back that is well worth reading for a summary of why we should still be worried that none of those really responsible has been brought to justice.

Everyday Democracy and Rowan Williams

February 10, 2008 by james | No Comments | Filed in Current affairs, Media and Politics

Across the river A couple of weeks ago I was fortunate to be able to attend the launch of DemosEveryday Democracy Index and pick up a copy of the associated 120-page pamphlet. The publication of the Index marks a helpful contribution to an important and fascinating series of conversations about the nature of democracy (in the sense of civic engagement and participatory decision making rather than a specific implementation), where it is most effective and how it can adapt to deal with societal trends and challenges.

The Index and associated pamphlet are far from complete, but are a helpful starting point. Seeking to compare democracy in various spheres across Europe highlights some interesting trends, even beyond the apparently idyllic nature of the Scandinavian countries. As Timothy Garton Ash pointed out in his address to the launch, looking at some of the data at the country-level risks missing out on the distinctiveness of the situation of large cities, and not enough time is spent exploring issues around various forms of diversity. But this publication is a first step in an ongoing process that will hopefully see it refined and expanded in coming years.

It was while reading the pamphlet that I heard about Rowan Williams’ much-discussed recent speech. A message that comes out strongly in Demos’ work is that democracy cannot be simply understood in a national, institutional way. In examining how it works in Europe their researchers looked through a series of connected spheres to see how participation worked in each one and it seems there is a connection to what Rowan Williams was looking towards in that speech.

As our society becomes more complex there is more need for governance to work not simply on a geographically local level, but to grapple with the concepts of psychogeography and other notions of connection which happen at levels other than the physically local. Policies and services need to be built that understand that for most of us we don’t have a primary relationship with the State, but instead our relationship with the State is one part of a web of connections that form the context of our lives. For those who are members of religious communities, the relationship with the norms and traditions of those religious communities are an important part of that. As Revd. Williams put it:

“it is not enough to say that citizenship as an abstract form of equal access and equal accountability is either the basis or the entirety of social identity and personal motivation.”

Reading his speech it seems that for the most part he is calling for flexibility in our legal systems to be able to place more weight on the testimony of (carefully established) religious authorities when trying to understand the significance of certain situations or actions for members of certain religious communities. There may also be analogies to systems already in place for Hassidic Jews to follow their own legal traditions in areas of marriage and divorce.

Obviously any move in this direction is likely to be incredibly complex, but it is not without precedent, and fits very well with thinking across the board on flexibility of government services and constitutional practice. Whatever the papers say, or the many critics within the church may think, Revd. Williams is most certainly aware of those complexities and the need for legal systems to strive for egality in their treatment of citizens. In a key paragraph he says:

“If any kind of plural jurisdiction is recognised, it would presumably have to be under the rubric that no ‘supplementary’ jurisdiction could have the power to deny access to the rights granted to other citizens or to punish its members for claiming those rights. This is in effect to mirror what a minority might themselves be requesting – that the situation should not arise where membership of one group restricted the freedom to live also as a member of an overlapping group, that (in this case) citizenship in a secular society should not necessitate the abandoning of religious discipline, any more than religious discipline should deprive one of access to liberties secured by the law of the land, to the common benefits of secular citizenship – or, better, to recognise that citizenship itself is a complex phenomenon not bound up with any one level of communal belonging but involving them all.”

Both the Everyday Democracy Index and Rowan Williams’ speech make clear that the next few decades are likely to be a time of significant change in the way citizens and governments interact and how society understands the role of a wide variety of civil society affiliations. It’s a shame so many in our media are scared of that debate.

Tony Blair and oversimplification

October 19, 2007 by james | No Comments | Filed in Current affairs, Iran

It is to be hoped that Tony Blair’s new role as Middle East Envoy will allow him to break away from being an apologist for the neo-conservative hardliners in the Bush administration, but based on a recent speech it seems that is unlikely. The Guardian this morning reported that Blair has said, speaking of “militant Islam” that:

This ideology now has a state, Iran, that is prepared to back and finance terror in the pursuit of destabilising countries whose people wish to live in peace.

That statement shows a continuation of the neo-conservatives’ tendency to radically over-simplify their statements about Iran and militant Islam, to de-emphasise strategic interests, to skip over the Sunni/Shia divide in the Islamic world and to leave out other vital details.

Unlike Britain and the US, Iran is situated in the Middle East and its strategic decisions regarding the area are fraught with complexity arising from the presence of hostile (US) forces on its major borders. If it allies itself with radical groups in order to confront that threat (and very little evidence has been offered for the recent allegations) it is likely that it is doing so on strategic, and not ideological grounds.

It is highly likely that any new alliances Iran is making are significantly less ideological than those which led the US to support the Taliban and Osama Bin Laden a few decades back. Reductionist statements like Blair’s may help underline the rhythm of the drums of war, but they are dangerously shallow and pose no less of a threat to global stability than those of the Iranian leadership.

Quick-Build Fences

September 16, 2007 by james | No Comments | Filed in Campaigning, Current affairs, Urbanism

Several years ago while in Genoa for the now notorious G8 summit, I shared the outrage of many of my fellow protestors about the decision by the Italian authorities to seal off significant parts of the city with a large fence. The areas inside the fence were designated the “red zone” into which you could only pass with appropriate security credentials, those near to its perimeter were the “yellow zone” in which group gatherings were banned and the police presence was heavy, and then the outlying areas were the “green zone” which meant that people could get on with their lives relatively undisturbed.

The irony of the same world leaders who had recently bemoaned poor electoral turnout at home now fencing themselves away from their politically engaged citizens was palpable, but it also didn’t take much observation time to realise that the existence of the fence set up obvious flash points for violent confrontations. Confrontations that many of us felt could have been minimised by a less aggressive security policy.

It’s been with a mixture of that experience and our recent visit to Australia in mind that I’ve read coverage of the security around the recent APEC summit in Sydney. It’s strange to see pictures of the same Circular Quay where we enjoyed the sun and the crowds, now with the Opera House sealed off by a security fence, and of the usually bustling streets in the city centre deserted but for police officers and a few curious onlookers.

There’s been good coverage at Super Colossal and on City of Sound, and there’s been much of interest in this somewhat rambling post on subtopia.

Looking at the photos is naturally a far less visceral experience than experiencing the reality of such a fence, but I find myself very much in agreement with Bryan Finoki when he comments on subtopia that:

It’s more than a little ominous, actually. These types of scaled moments seem more like rehearsals for something much bigger on the horizon, a sequel around the corner. I don’t know what exactly that would entail, but they just create this atmosphere of some future event to come that you may not want to be there to experience, exactly. In other words, this flexing of state power is a kind of indirect terror, or something.

The reports conjure images of gated communities taken to extremes; of governments using technology not to become more responsive and participatory but more defensive; and offer still more evidence that while we dance on the precipice between unprecedented global wealth and an increasingly likely financial crash, the power divide between haves and have-nots can rapidly become very tangible, and that—while many of us may be wealthier than we sometimes recognise—the former group can quickly turn out to be very small.

Naivete and Ambassadorship

March 1, 2007 by james | No Comments | Filed in Current affairs

There are many things about the current administration that are hard to believe. Their nomination for Ambassador to Belgium. It seems he was a major ($50,000) donor to the “Swift Boat Veterans For Truth” group that attacked John Kerry during the last presidential election.

From Salon’s coverage:

OK, then, Kerry asked, so why did you give money to a group that tried to do just that? “When we’re asked, we give,” Fox replied. He said later that he couldn’t remember who had asked him for the contribution. And while he said that he thinks 527s should be outlawed and that he’d never give money to any group “if I thought what they were printing was not true,” he also said that he “personally” would have “no way of knowing” whether a group’s representations will turn out to be true at the time he’s giving it cash.

I can’t decide whether my reaction should be some sarcastic comment about how he’ll make a good ambassador if he just gives away whatever is asked of him, or a request for a meeting to request money for some of my preferred causes?

A simple matter of geography

February 27, 2007 by james | 1 Comment | Filed in Current affairs

The geographical illiteracy of much of the US population is something of a joke both in-and outside of the United States. But it’s a shame that it’s shared by so much of its media, particularly when they’re frequently sending reporters to distant lands.

For their assistance:

Distance from Baghdad, Iraq
Tehran (Iran) 442 miles
Damascus (Syria) 466 miles
Washington DC (U.S.A) 7000 miles (approx)

or to put it another way, where is the USA on this map?

Map of the Middle East

So which country should we be surprised has been invited to a regional summit to discuss Iraqi security?

(In response to an NPR story based on this, but seemingly expressing surprise that Iran and Syria had been invited to a regional meeting)

The Rise of Islamic Democracy

February 26, 2007 by james | No Comments | Filed in Current affairs

Documenting the hypocrisies of the Bush administrations claims about “spreading democracy” in the Middle East can be a thankless task, and to do so on an ongoing basis would quickly become repetitive and dull. Every now and again, however, it’s time for an article covering that ground and providing a sense of what democracy might actually mean on the ground in the Middle East. Ken Silverstein’s “Parties of God” in Harpers’ March 2007 issue is just such a survey and well worth reading for a more nuanced understanding than is otherwise readily available. Hopefully it’ll be online soon.

The piece touches on similar themes to those which keep occurring to me as I work my way through Will Hutton‘s “The Writing On The Wall,” which is an analysis of the state of the Chinese economy and western relations with it. Hutton’s argument is that for China’s economy to evolve it will need more of the civil society structures that the West attained through the Enlightenment, and it is a compelling one (it’s also worth skipping his introductory chapter, which gives a skewed sense of what he’s about to cover).

But Hutton’s analysis seems to presume that civil society can only take the form it has in the West. Certainly to date many innovations dubbed “Chinese-style” have simply been fronts for the same old authoritarianism, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t some future approach which offers a comparable set of checks and balances in a very different context.

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Stop Iran War

February 21, 2007 by james | No Comments | Filed in Campaigning, Current affairs, Iran

I don’t know quite what to say about the ongoing belligerence on the part of the USA towards Iran. If they’re not stopped by disclosures that Dick Cheney rejected an offer Iran made four years ago that would have satisfied all their public demands, then I fear there’s not much that can be done to prevent the administration from using Iraq as a launching pad for an invasion of Iran. This story at Kos’ place didn’t help (via Ed in email)

I don’t put much hope in such things, but for those who are so inclined please do visit Stop Iran War and sign their petition. (via Eric, by email).

Cheney Opposed to Iranian Openness?

January 18, 2007 by james | No Comments | Filed in Current affairs, Iran

This is one of those stories that really ought to be huge, but probably won’t make many waves in the US. The BBC’s Newsnight has been told by a former senior US government official:

Tehran proposed ending support for Lebanese and Palestinian militant groups and helping to stabilise Iraq following the US-led invasion.

Offers, including making its nuclear programme more transparent, were conditional on the US ending hostility.

But Vice-President Dick Cheney’s office rejected the plan, the official said.

Obviously there is some doubt about any such source’s motivations, but the letter in which these offers were made has been seen by Newsnight.

With the United States making increasingly hostile moves towards Iran, arresting Iranian officials in Baghdad, and contemplating incursions onto Iranian soil to pursue insurgents, these are alarming times. The United States is vastly over-committed in the Middle East already and with two potential “surges” in the works, would struggle to commit to further actions, but there’s no knowing what these people will try.

It’s long been clear from the administration’s actions to undermine nuclear negotiations between the EU and Iran that they have no real interest in any development that doesn’t involve regime change (probably through military action). But this letter is a far clearer confirmation than any we’ve seen to date and its revelations need urgently to reach a wider audience.

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